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Prediction markets
10 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
73%
September Meeting
69%
3 more
$1.68M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
64 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
70%
Pause–Pause–Pause
31%
7 more
$627K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
63 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
73%
Pause–Pause–Pause
21%
7 more
$581K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
47 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Balance Sheet
85%
Central Bank
85%
36 more
$85K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
48 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
75%
Other
24%
7 more
$905K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
52 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
61%
25 bps increase
25%
3 more
$358K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
48 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
43%
2 (50 bps)
28%
4 more
$64K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$59
42 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
25%
Yes
No
1
23%
Yes
No
$54K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$75
54 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.4K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
44 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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